USA Jordan Morris (16) in action vs Wales during Group Stage - Group B match at Al Rayyan Stadium on November 21, 2022. (Simon Bruty /Sports Illustrated via Getty Images)
DOHA, Qatar - After holding England scoreless and picking up a point on Friday, the United States can guarantee its place in the Round of 16 stage with Iran on Tuesday (2 p.m. ET on FOX and the FOX Sports app) — it can also still technically win Group B.
Here we break down all the outcomes and obstacles, as Gregg Berhalter’s tenacious American squad tries to find a way through the minefield.
So, get ready to watch the scoreboard — and the all-important goal-differential.
Permutations and Scenarios:
If USA beats Iran AND England beats Wales: USA will advance to the Round of 16 as the runner-up in Group B to winners England.
If USA beats Iran AND England ties with Wales: USA will enter a tiebreaker with England for the top spot. The first tiebreaker is goal differential and England has a four-goal advantage over the Americans because of its 6-2 win over Iran. The loser of that tiebreaker will still advance.
If USA beats Iran AND England lose to Wales: USA will advance to the Round of 16 as the winners of Group B and England will advance as the runner-up.
If USA ties with OR loses to Iran AND England beats Wales: USA will be eliminated from the tournament and Iran will advance to the Round of 16 as runner-up in Group B to winners England.
If USA loses to Iran AND England ties with Wales: USA will be eliminated from the tournament and Iran will advance to the Round of 16 as the winners Group of B; England will advance as the runner-up.
If USA loses to Iran AND England loses to Wales: USA will be eliminated from the tournament and Iran will advance to the Round of 16 as the winner of Group B: England will enter a tiebreaker with Wales based on goal differential to determine the runner-up. England has a six-goal advantage on Wales.
Read more from the World Cup:
- USMNT has golden chance against Wales but ends with regrets
- World Cup Daily: England now has upper hand in Group B
- Top plays from USA-Wales 1-1 draw
- England sends a warning shot to Group B with opening blowout
- How the USMNT restored its culture
- Why young USMNT roster isn't sweating a lack of World Cup experience
- Get to know the USMNT's 26-man World Cup roster
- How to watch every game of the 2022 World Cup
- 101 most memorable World Cup moments
- Stu Holden's top 50 players at the World Cup
LINK: Get the latest updates on this story at FOXSports.com.